trends

For general rambling.
Post Reply
Jonathan
Grand Pooh-Bah
Posts: 6722
Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:45 pm
Location: Portland, OR
Contact:

trends

Post by Jonathan »

In about ten months, there will be no more posts on Mohtalim if the linear trend continues.

Now, you could argue what we're experiencing is greater than normal seasonal decline. But I doubt it.

Peijen
Minion to the Exalted Pooh-Bah
Posts: 2790
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 2:28 pm
Location: Irvine, CA

Post by Peijen »

do you have a graph?

Also I blame it on Joe and Dave

Jonathan
Grand Pooh-Bah
Posts: 6722
Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:45 pm
Location: Portland, OR
Contact:

Post by Jonathan »

Image

quantus
Tenth Dan Procrastinator
Posts: 4891
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 3:09 am
Location: San Jose, CA

Post by quantus »

This could've been a good use of google spreadsheets if they had graphing...

I think that this trend will flatten out at some point just because of the Links Forum.

I blame Peijen for leaving AK and not having any more boredom to regale us with.
Have you clicked today? Check status, then: People, Jobs or Roads

skanks
Poser
Posts: 290
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 6:16 am

Post by skanks »

Wow. That's really surprising. Bush's approval rating isn't even extrapolated to hit zero for some 28 months.

quantus
Tenth Dan Procrastinator
Posts: 4891
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 3:09 am
Location: San Jose, CA

Post by quantus »

By the way, your fit value for the linear trend is roughly 0.5, and is roughly the same for a 2nd order polynomial and logarithmic. If you use exponential, then you can get a fit of roughly 0.63 which is also not great, but definately better. Anyways, we'll be at about 140 posts/month by December and only 90 a year after that...

Oh, what happened from March to September 2004 that caused that rising trend. That couldn't have been all election related especially since October and November dropped off again.

Not that I want to bring up FF again, but I think that skewed the count we have near the end of 2003 to be as high as it is. Also, the drop in September 2003 was likely from a partial forum crash.

Anyways, if we're gonna place blame, I think it's Vinny's fault. Post if you agree!
Have you clicked today? Check status, then: People, Jobs or Roads

Peijen
Minion to the Exalted Pooh-Bah
Posts: 2790
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 2:28 pm
Location: Irvine, CA

Post by Peijen »

quantus wrote:Anyways, if we're gonna place blame, I think it's Vinny's fault. Post if you agree!
Agree

Jason
Veteran Doodler
Posts: 1520
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 12:53 am
Location: Fairfax, VA

Post by Jason »

I think peijen and I pissed vinny off enough that he doesn't want to talk to any of us anymore. Well more me than peijen, but that doesn't matter much.

quantus
Tenth Dan Procrastinator
Posts: 4891
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 3:09 am
Location: San Jose, CA

Post by quantus »

How'd you do that? And why'd you ruin it for the rest of us?

Dude, he's only posted 4 times in the last month!
Have you clicked today? Check status, then: People, Jobs or Roads

Peijen
Minion to the Exalted Pooh-Bah
Posts: 2790
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 2:28 pm
Location: Irvine, CA

Post by Peijen »

quantus wrote:Dude, he's only posted 4 times in the last month!
That's more FFXI related than anything else.

Jonathan
Grand Pooh-Bah
Posts: 6722
Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:45 pm
Location: Portland, OR
Contact:

Post by Jonathan »

If I can play eve and still post, Vinny can play ffxi and still post.

Jason
Veteran Doodler
Posts: 1520
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 12:53 am
Location: Fairfax, VA

Post by Jason »

quantus wrote:How'd you do that? And why'd you ruin it for the rest of us?

Dude, he's only posted 4 times in the last month!
Seeing as he's worse now than he was in college kind of made me unable to hold back voicing my disapproval on many of the things he does.

and to tell the truth, I don't have internet at work and try to stay as far away from my computer once I get home as I can. I barely read everything that's posted here as it is.

Alan
Veteran Doodler
Posts: 2758
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 2:32 am
Location: Where I am
Contact:

Post by Alan »

What'd you say to him?

Details! We want to live vicariously through you!
Image

VLSmooth
Tenth Dan Procrastinator
Posts: 3055
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 3:02 am
Location: Varies
Contact:

Post by VLSmooth »

Jason wrote:I think peijen and I pissed vinny off enough that he doesn't want to talk to any of us anymore. Well more me than peijen, but that doesn't matter much.
What? If you've managed to piss me off without myself knowing, that's quite a feat.

I just drove back from a week-long family vacation in the Smokey Mountains; ~1400 miles added to my car FTW.

As for general events, they've simply popped up faster than I've expected. Sorry for being busy?

Finally, aren't you being just a tad presumptuous.

George
Veteran Doodler
Posts: 1267
Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2004 12:26 am
Location: Arlington, VA

Post by George »

Hooray! Vinny has returned to save us all! I expect the trendline to reverse itself shortly.

Hmm, but that would produce a "V"-like pattern. And as we all know from the Da Vinci Code, that must mean that Vinny actually is God. Or a woman.

VLSmooth
Tenth Dan Procrastinator
Posts: 3055
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 3:02 am
Location: Varies
Contact:

Post by VLSmooth »

George wrote:Hooray! Vinny has returned to save us all! I expect the trendline to reverse itself shortly.
Perhaps; keeping Mohtalim running is a joint effort of mutual benefits (ie. amusement). Unfortunately, that also takes effort.

I'll see what I can do, but my visiting parents are also bound to keep me busy.

Some random snippets:
  • hiking on trails boring
  • hiking off the trails and across waterfalls is cool
    (watch out for naked bathers though >_>)
  • the DS Lite rocks
    (not sure about Polar aka crack cocaine white though)
  • I missed CelebrateFairfax (boo!)
  • I'm thinking about buying HD-595s (link2); might make a RFC thread

Dave
Tenth Dan Procrastinator
Posts: 3483
Joined: Fri Jul 18, 2003 3:40 pm

Post by Dave »

Becasue my life sucks too much to post. True story.
It takes 43 muscles to frown and 17 to smile, but it doesn't take any to just sit there with a dumb look on your face.

Jonathan
Grand Pooh-Bah
Posts: 6722
Joined: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:45 pm
Location: Portland, OR
Contact:

Post by Jonathan »

Goddamn naked people, always ruining my fun!

Post Reply